After a FIFA World Cup group stage full of upsets, the South African data scientists at Principa are currently outranking 99.96% of people on popular sports predictor site, Superbru.

Principa’s football world cup score predictions are done using various predictive analytics methods. Each method’s predictions have been submitted on Superbru.com. The best-performing algorithm uses the Bayesian Inference method, utilising the latest betting odds. These predictions are updated when the latest odds are available, right before the start of a match. Using the latest available data is proving a successful strategy, as it outperforms predictions made by the same algorithm, minus these latest betting odds by 1%.

While Principa are expecting this to hold true for the remainder of the World Cup, they have made the predictions made by the Bayesian Inference model at this point in time available, on their website: https://wonders.principa.co.za/principa-predicts-football-world-cup-2018

These predictions come after the model has been updated with the latest results from the group stages. Principa will continue to post predictions on their website as well as via their Twitter (@PrincipaD) and Facebook accounts. A record of all predictions and the actual results will also be made available on the company's website.

Principa have also created an overview of some of the more interesting insights discovered during the data preparations: https://wonders.principa.co.za/football-world-cup-2018-statistics

About Principa: Principa Decisions (Pty) Ltd. work wonders with data science to serve over 150 companies in 30 countries in Africa, Middle East and Europe.Principa’s data science solutions help customers answer questions about the past and present to anticipate future outcomes. Our data scientists, developers and consultants work together to develop data analytics products and solutions that derive answers, predictions and recommended actions from large and complex data. The data insights derived provide the information and knowledge from which to develop more effective strategies, increase efficiency and profitability and decrease cost and risk.

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https://www.principa.co.za/